Monthly Archives: July 2010

Tropical Update

Hello !!

August will begin with some tropical activity. There is a few tropical waves in the Caribbean that need to be watched, but nothing is imminent. The story right now is a tropical wave far out in the Atlantic Ocean. The National Hurricane Center designated it invest 90L and gives this wave a 20% chance of developing within the next 48 hours.

There is a good chance that further down the road the wave will be something to focus on, but for now it is not there yet. There are some thoughts that the wave will slow down in forward speed and merge with another tropical wave that just exited the coast of Africa. Again, nothing is imminent, but I like to keep my readers alert and updated.

Stay tuned for another post Monday morning or during the weekend if anything drastically changes over the weekend. For now enjoy your weekend……

Special Bulletin

The NHC has issued a statement saying that Bonnie has made landfall near Cutler Bay with estimated winds of 40 mph. Those of you who live in South Dade, go outside and look at the sky. Chances are it looks pretty good and even the sun might try to come out. That is the center over you. Around 2:00 PM is when the tropical storm force winds are expected to arrive in South Florida. Be careful and stay safe !!

Stay tuned……

DISCLAIMER: I am not a meteorologist nor a professional; just a weather enthusiast. For the experts please go to: www.nhc.noaa.gov.

TS Bonnie 11:00 AM Update

Summary of 11:00 AM EDT

Location: 25.4N 80.3W
Distance: 30 miles SSW of Miami Florida
Maximum Sustained Winds: 40 mph
Movement: WNW at 18 mph
Minimum Central Pressure: 1008 mb

Radar shows that most of the rain has moved ashore and the center of Bonnie is currently over Biscayne Bay. The center of Bonnie will track over South Florida today and move into the Gulf of Mexico later tonight. Tropical storm force winds extend outward 80 miles from the center, but they are mostly located to the north and east of the center. South Florida should start to experience tropical storm force winds later today as Bonnie moves by. A weather station at Fowey Rocks just reported sustained winds of 46 mph with gusts up to 52 mph.

Stay tuned……

DISCLAIMER: I am not a meteorologist nor a professional; just a weather enthusiast. For the experts please go to: www.nhc.noaa.gov.

TS Bonnie 8:00 AM Update

Good Morning !!

Summary of 800 AM EDT

Location: 24.7N 79.8W
Distance: 80 miles SSE of Miami, Florida

75 miles E of Marathon, Florida
Maximum Sustained Winds: 40 mph
Movement: WNW at 19 mph
Minimum Central Pressure: 1008 mb

TS Bonnie is only going to be a wind and rain event for South Florida. The weather has been deteriorating since early this morning and will continue through the day. By doing some simple math, TS Bonnie is expected to be very close to Miami by noon. I expect heavy rain and strong gusty winds to arrive ahead of the storm and persist throughout the afternoon. She has not strengthened since last night and with her close proximity to South Florida, she is not expected to develop into a hurricane. There is the possibility that she can gain 5-10 mph in wind speed, but nothing drastic.

Stay tuned….

DISCLAIMER: I am not a meteorologist nor a professional; just a weather enthusiast. For the experts please go to: www.nhc.noaa.gov.

Tropical Storm Bonnie

The NHC has upgraded TD #3 to Tropical Storm Bonnie.

Stay tuned……

TD #3 – 5:00 PM Update (UPDATED) Tropical Storm Bonnie is Born

UPDATED: The NHC has just upgraded TD #3 to TS Bonnie. More info tonight/tomorrow morning.
Location: 22.7N 75.4W – 425 miles ESE of Key West, FL.
Maximum Sustained Winds: 35 MPH
Movement: NW AT 14 MPH
Minimum Central Pressure: 1006 MB

The NHC decided not to upgrade TD #3 on this advisory even though there was data to support the upgrade. The track has shifted a bit closer to Miami, so this will need to be watched. There is no serious danger associated with TD #3 at the moment, but we will experience tropical storm force winds (40+ mph) and very heavy rainfall.

Definitely prepare for bad weather tomorrow. The outer rain bands from TD #3 can already be seen on Miami radar. Expect the weather to deteriorate early tomorrow with the worst coming after noon.

Stay Tuned….

Here is a map to show you the forecasted points:

DISCLAIMER: I am not a meteorologist nor a professional; just a weather enthusiast. For the experts please go to: www.nhc.noaa.gov.

Quick Update

The Hurricane Hunters have been sampling TD #3 and found winds that exceed 40 mph. Therefore, at the 5:00 PM update, the NHC should upgrade TD #3 to TS Bonnie. It seems that the center of the storm has shifted to the northeast. What that means is that most likely the official track will be nudged a bit north (towards Miami) for the 5:00 PM update.

Stay tuned…………………

DISCLAIMER: I am not a meteorologist nor a professional; just a weather enthusiast. For the experts please go to: www.nhc.noaa.gov.