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August 25, 2011 Tropical Update

Summary of 11:00 AM EDT

Hurricane Irene

Location: 25.9N 76.8W

Distance: 75 miles NNE of Nassau, Bahamas

Maximum Sustained Winds: 115 mph

Movement: NNW at 12 mph

Minimum Central Pressure: 951 mb

Hurricane Warning: The Central and Northwestern Bahamas

Hurricane Watch: North of Surf City, North Carolina to the North Carolina/Virginia border including the Pamlico, Albemarle, and Currituck Islands

Tropical Storm Warning: North of Edisto Beach, South Carolina to Surf City, North Carolina

Tropical Storm Watch: None

Irene is still not done tearing through the Bahamas. She is approaching Grand Abaco Island. A turn to the NNW has commenced according to the 11 AM advisory. Environmental conditions are very favorable or strengthening with low shear, excellent outflow, and very warm waters. I believe she will strengthen to a category 4 before she reaches North Carolina with a slow weakening occurring on her way to landfall. North Carolina should expect a storm category 3 hurricane bearing down on them on Saturday.

After North Carolina, Irene should track up the east coast and affect every state from North Carolina and Maine. Irene is a very large storm with tropical storm force winds expanding 290 miles from the center and hurricane force winds extend 70 miles. Do not focus on the track of Irene. She will affect everyone in some way.

Depending on how much land interaction Irene has, the possibility that Irene can affect Long Island, New York and southern New England as a category 2 hurricane is very possible. If you live in the path of Irene, please listen to your local government’s emergency messages. Evacuate is you are told to and stay safe.

Stay tuned…………………………….

Tropical Depression #10

Location: 13.3N 31.8W

Distance: 505 miles W of the southernmost Cape Verde Islands

Maximum Sustained Winds: 35 mph

Movement: WNW at 12 mph

Minimum Central Pressure: 1010 mb

Hurricane Warning: None

Hurricane Watch: None

Tropical Storm Warning: None

Tropical Storm Watch: None

The track for TD #10 is a bit complicated. At first it will track NW and then turn to the west. We have to wait a few more days to see how the end of the track plays out. This cyclone is far away. There is plenty of time to watch it.

Elsewhere in the Tropics:

Tropical formation is not expected during the next 48 hours.

DISCLAIMER: I am neither a meteorologist nor a professional; just a weather enthusiast. For the experts please go to: www.nhc.noaa.gov.

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